Alphabet (GOOGL) is one of the stocks most watched by Zacks.com visitors lately. So, it might be a good idea to review some of the factors that might affect the near-term performance of the stock.
Shares of this internet search leader have returned -6.8% over the past month versus the Zacks S&P 500 composite’s +5.4% change. The Zacks Internet – Services industry, to which Alphabet belongs, has lost 4.7% over this period. Now the key question is: Where could the stock be headed in the near term?
While media releases or rumors about a substantial change in a company’s business prospects usually make its stock ‘trending’ and lead to an immediate price change, there are always some fundamental facts that eventually dominate the buy-and-hold decision-making.
Earnings Estimate Revisions
Rather than focusing on anything else, we at Zacks prioritize evaluating the change in a company’s earnings projection. This is because we believe the fair value for its stock is determined by the present value of its future stream of earnings.
Our analysis is essentially based on how sell-side analysts covering the stock are revising their earnings estimates to take the latest business trends into account. When earnings estimates for a company go up, the fair value for its stock goes up as well. And when a stock’s fair value is higher than its current market price, investors tend to buy the stock, resulting in its price moving upward. Because of this, empirical studies indicate a strong correlation between trends in earnings estimate revisions and short-term stock price movements.
For the current quarter, Alphabet is expected to post earnings of $1.17 per share, indicating a change of -23.5% from the year-ago quarter. The Zacks Consensus Estimate has changed -15.3% over the last 30 days.
For the current fiscal year, the consensus earnings estimate of $4.68 points to a change of -16.6% from the prior year. Over the last 30 days, this estimate has changed -7.9%.
For the next fiscal year, the consensus earnings estimate of $5.08 indicates a change of +8.5% from what Alphabet is expected to report a year ago. Over the past month, the estimate has changed -12.3%.
Having a strong externally audited track record, our proprietary stock rating tool, the Zacks Rank, offers a more conclusive picture of a stock’s price direction in the near term, since it effectively harnesses the power of earnings estimate revisions. Due to the size of the recent change in the consensus estimate, along with three other factors related to earnings estimates, Alphabet is rated Zacks Rank #4 (Sell).
The chart below shows the evolution of the company’s forward 12-month consensus EPS estimate:
12 Month EPS
Projected Revenue Growth
While earnings growth is arguably the most superior indicator of a company’s financial health, nothing happens as such if a business isn’t able to grow its revenues. After all, it’s nearly impossible for a company to increase its earnings for an extended period without increasing its revenues. So, it’s important to know a company’s potential revenue growth.
For Alphabet, the consensus sales estimate for the current quarter of $63.23 billion indicates a year-over-year change of +2.2%. For the current and next fiscal years, $234.07 billion and $251.41 billion estimates indicate +10.4% and +7.4% changes, respectively.
Last Reported Results and Surprise History
Alphabet reported revenues of $57.27 billion in the last reported quarter, representing a year-over-year change of +6.8%. EPS of $1.06 for the same period compares with $1.40 a year ago.
Compared to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $58.36 billion, the reported revenues represent a surprise of -1.87%. The EPS surprise was -15.2%.
Over the last four quarters, the company surpassed EPS estimates just once. The company topped consensus revenue estimates just once over this period.
Without considering a stock’s valuation, no investment decision can be efficient. In predicting a stock’s future price performance, it’s crucial to determine whether its current price correctly reflects the intrinsic value of the underlying business and the company’s growth prospects.
While comparing the current values of a company’s valuation multiples, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S) and price-to-cash flow (P/CF), with its own historical values helps determine whether its stock is fairly valued, overvalued, or undervalued, comparing the company relative to its peers on these parameters gives a good sense of the reasonability of the stock’s price.
As part of the Zacks Style Scores system, the Zacks Value Style Score (which evaluates both traditional and unconventional valuation metrics) organizes stocks into five groups ranging from A to F (A is better than B; B is better than C; and so on), making it helpful in identifying whether a stock is overvalued, rightly valued, or temporarily undervalued.
Alphabet is graded C on this front, indicating that it is trading at par with its peers. Click here to see the values of some of the valuation metrics that have driven this grade.
The facts discussed here and much other information on Zacks.com might help determine whether or not it’s worthwhile paying attention to the market buzz about Alphabet. However, its Zacks Rank #4 does suggest that it may underperform the broader market in the near term.
Special Report: The Top 5 IPOs for Your Portfolio
Today, you have a chance to get in on the ground floor of one of the best investment opportunities of the year. As the world continues to benefit from an ever-evolving internet, a handful of innovative tech companies are on the brink of reaping immense rewards – and you can put yourself in a position to cash in. One is set to disrupt the online communication industry. Brilliantly designed for creating online communities, this stock is poised to explode when made public. With the strength of our economy and record amounts of cash flooding into IPOs, you don’t want to miss this opportunity.
The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.
You May want to check our other related articles below and download our app.
https://tmz.ng/category/trending/ |Trending News
Download Our APP
Download Our App For less Ads and more of Premium contents for free
Disclaimer For: Is Trending Stock Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) a Buy Now?
TMZ.NG believes the information on
Is Trending Stock Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) a Buy Now? accessible via this website is accurate and trustworthy but makes no promise regarding its timeliness, completeness, or correctness. TMZ.NG isn't a broker. We don't offer individualized investment advice. This website's information is subject to change. This website's content may become old, incomplete, or wrong. We may update obsolete, incomplete, or erroneous information, but aren't required to.
It would be best if you never made an ICO, IEO, or other investment decision based on the material on this website, nor should you consider it financial advice. If you need investing advice on an ICO, IEO, or other investment, visit a licensed advisor. We don't take payment to analyze or report on ICOs, IEOs, cryptocurrencies, currencies, tokenized sales, stocks, or commodities.